TY - BOOK AU - Bossel, H. TI - Indicators for sustainable development: : theory, method, applications. A report to the Balaton Group U1 - e-book (SD) PY - 1999/// CY - Canada PB - International Institute for Sustainable Development, N1 - Includes bibliographical notes and references N2 - Table of Contents List of Tables viii Figure Captions ix Background and overview xi 1. What is sustainable development? Concepts and constraints 1 1.1. Sustainability of human society 1 Sustainability in an evolving world can only mean 1 sustainable development Different concepts of sustainable development 2 1.2. Sustainable development is constrained by what is accessible 3 Constraints of physical conditions and laws of nature: 4 not everything is possible Constraints of human nature and human goals: 5 not everything is desirable Constraints of time: dynamics and evolution determine 6 pace and direction 1.3. Sustainable development requires systems information 6 Indicators provide comprehensive information about 7 the systems shaping sustainable development 2. How to recognize sustainable development? 8 Looking for indicators 2.1. The difficulty: so many systems and variables to watch 8 Recognizing patterns: understanding from a few indicators 8 Indicators summarize complex information of value 9 to the observer Being fully informed means watching relevant indicators 9 for all vital aspects of a development Two types of indicators: for the viability of a system and for 10 its contribution to the performance of another system 2.2. A critique of popular indicators of development: missing 11 vital information Keep it simple: pitfalls of watching a single indicator 11 A single indicator like GDP cannot capture all vital aspects 12 of sustainable development Aggregate indexes are an improvement, but aggregation 12 can conceal serious deficits Indicators for Sustainable Development: Theory, Method, Applications A Report to the Balaton Group iii Measuring sustainability: ecological footprint 13 and barometer of sustainability Ad hoc or trial-and-error selection of indicators 13 is inadequate Pressure–state–response frameworks fail to account 13 for system relationships and dynamics A systems approach is required to structure the search 14 for indicators 2.3. Sustainable development is coevolution of human 17 and natural systems In a systems view of sustainable development six 17 essential subsystems can be distinguished The six subsystems correspond to potentials that 18 must be sustainably maintained The six subsystems can be aggregated to three subsystems: 19 human system, support system, natural system 3. What does sustainability of a system imply? 20 Orientors of viability 3.1.Using systems theory to identify the vital aspects of 20 sustainable development and relevant indicators The task: defining a framework and a process for 20 finding a set of indicators Essential system concepts 20 Hierarchy and subsidiarity facilitate efficient operation 21 Subsystems contribute to the viability of the total system 22 Essential information about system viability and 23 performance is contained in (1) the states (stocks) and (2) the rates of change (flows) of a system Viability is determined both by the system 24 and its environment 3.2. Fundamental properties of system environments 25 General properties of system environments must be 25 reflected in fundamental orientations of systems System environments are characterized by six 27 fundamental environmental properties Each of the environmental properties is unique 28 Indicators for Sustainable Development: Theory, Method, Applications A Report to the Balaton Group iv 3.3. Fundamental orientations of systems: basic orientors 29 Environmental and system properties cause 29 distinct orientations in systems Basic orientors represent basic system interests 30 Orientors as normative guidelines; finding indicators 32 of orientor satisfaction Basic orientors are unique: one orientor cannot 32 substitute for another The basic orientor currently ‘in the minimum’ is the 33 limiting factor of system development 3.4.Other evidence of basic orientors and their role 34 Evidence of basic orientors is found in many 34 fields of science 4. What indicators to select? Unavoidable choice 39 4.1. The general scheme: basic orientors provide a checklist 39 Illustrative examples 39 Application to sustainable development 39 4.2. Indicators for dynamic systems in a dynamic environment 41 Rates of change, intrinsic dynamics and system pace 41 depend on system structure Delays, early warning and the role of models 42 4.3. Is there enough time for corrections? 43 Defining Biesiot indicators Response time and respite time 43 Biesiot indicators for threats to basic orientors 44 Quantification with Biesiot indicators and visualization 45 of the state of viability 4.4. The cyclical nature of system evolution and indicators 46 of sustainability Growth and decay in real systems 46 Indicator emphasis changes during the 47 development cycle The need for flexibility and periodic revision of 47 indicator sets Indicators for Sustainable Development: Theory, Method, Applications A Report to the Balaton Group v 4.5. The horizon of attention 48 Essential systems and multidimensional viability: 48 the need for many indicators Looking for the weakest links 48 Comparable results of sustainability assessments 49 despite subjective choice The horizon of attention defines indicator selection 50 Indicator selection can be independent of ideology 51 4.6. The horizon of responsibility 52 The decision for sustainable development defines 52 a horizon of responsibility Ethical choice is unavoidable 53 4.7. Arguments for a wide horizon of responsibility 54 Different ethical principles have different consequences 54 for sustainability Protecting evolutionary potential by a wide horizon 54 of responsibility Using the Principle of Partnership to guide 55 indicator selection Relationship between ethics and the systems view 55 5. Defining indicator sets: procedure 57 5.1. The procedure: a summary 57 5.2. Conceptual understanding of the total system 57 5.3. Identifying representative indicators 59 Recursive scheme for finding indicators of viability 59 Reducing the number of indicators to a manageable set 60 Adding detail: orientor hierarchies 61 Systematic approach to asking the relevant questions 62 Other criteria for indicators of sustainable development 62 5.4.Quantifying basic orientor satisfaction 63 Viability assessment may not have to be quantitative 63 Quantitative sustainability assessment 63 5.5. Participative process of indicator selection 64 Role of scientific method 64 Role of experts and the need for a participative process 65 The Seattle process 66 Indicators for Sustainable Development: Theory, Method, Applications A Report to the Balaton Group vi 6. Defining and using indicator sets: examples 69 6.1. Sample applications: overview 69 6.2. Assessment of global sustainability dynamics 69 Objectives 69 Method and database 70 Formalizing the sustainability assessment process 71 Indicator selection and orientor satisfaction assessment 72 Indicators and assessment functions for the human system 75 Indicators and assessment functions for the support system 76 Indicators and assessment functions for the natural system 78 Dynamics of orientor satisfaction 1950 to 2000 81 Discussion and conclusions 84 6.3. Compact indicator sets 84 Indicator set for a city: Seattle 85 Indicator set for a state: Upper Austria 87 Indicator set of a country: New Zealand 93 Indicator set for a global region 93 6.4. Extensive indicator set for a global region 93 7. Summary, conclusions, outlook 107 Notes 111 References 118 ER -